Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.2K
- Potential profit
- $14.2K
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Polymarket Trader
yy691884459
0xd93111781b3dd7b9a5127fbb5e81fd0fc417d7e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.03
- Realized PnL
- $178.73
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.28
- Potential profit
- $367.28
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.65
- Potential profit
- $100.65
- User PnL
- -$70
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.46
- Potential profit
- $88.46
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.57
- Potential profit
- $45.57
- User PnL
- -$24.61
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.93
- Potential profit
- $40.93
- User PnL
- -$24.97
Y
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $39.03
- Potential payout
- $40.67
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.66
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.61
- Potential profit
- $38.61
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.73
- Potential profit
- $27.73
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.12
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.95
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.91
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.07
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.34
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 9-15?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?Yes 55% 40.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown 10% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 14,200 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?No 69.5% 100.65 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?No 21.8% 367.28 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?Yes 61% 40.93 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?Yes 99.9% 75.05 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?Yes 52% 75.06 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes 99.9% 89.12 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes 56% 44.48 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes 56% 44.64 shares