Polymarket Trader

PapaAfrica

0xd934ee085d2349027111f1e5c6d12eb1cc41b664

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $225.55
Realized PnL: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $632.91
Potential profit: $632.91
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $531.18
Potential profit: $531.18
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $28.95
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $497.37
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$71.05

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $331.64
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $345.52
Potential profit: $345
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$99.48

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.55
Potential profit: $295.55
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.1
Potential profit: $281.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $53.15
Potential payout: $258.62
Potential profit: $205.47
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$21.85

Yes position

Stripe IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $23.08
Potential payout: $256.43
Potential profit: $233.35
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$26.92

No position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.88
Potential profit: $250.88
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $43.98
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $183.3
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $18.98

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be greater than $200 on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $157.89
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.75
Potential profit: $129.75
User PnL: -$49.31

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $40.16
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $64.01
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: -$9.84

Yes position

Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.06
Potential profit: $93.06
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.44

Yes position

Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.21

Heads position

Big Game: Coin Toss

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.2

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.86

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.95

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.67

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.91

Yes position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.93

No position

Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.12

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.02

Yes position

Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.85

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.95

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.14

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.79

Yes position

Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.45

Yes position

Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.21

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.88

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.38

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.82

Trump position

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.56

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.76

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 94% 80.66 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Yes 87% 71.42 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

No 46% 217.96 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 56.7% 192.3 shares
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 62% 80.67 shares
Stripe IPO before 2027?

Yes 19.5% 256.43 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

No 45.9% 217.96 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 52% 192.31 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 357.14 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 227.27 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 28.9% 345.52 shares