Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Quinte55ence
0xd93a864d425af6d53609f9bf0f17b80df31039dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $724.7
- Realized PnL
- $4.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $490
- Potential profit
- $490
- User PnL
- -$316.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $448.3
- Potential profit
- $448.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.67
- Potential profit
- $291.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $29.4
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $250.6
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $257.62
- Potential payout
- $258.26
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $7.62
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $246.38
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $23.64
- Potential payout
- $248.82
- Potential profit
- $225.19
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$73.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.88
- Potential profit
- $212.88
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$40.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $15.6
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $184.39
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $41.52
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $148.49
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- -$135.82
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $35.15
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $154.85
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.57
- Potential profit
- $153.57
- User PnL
- -$15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.78
- Potential profit
- $152.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.01
- Potential profit
- $142.01
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $131.97
- Potential payout
- $131.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $31.97
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.67
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $73.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $51.88
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $13.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.57
- Potential profit
- $119.57
- User PnL
- -$55
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $112.43
- Potential payout
- $115.79
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.85
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.18
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.25
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.02
70k position
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 97% 10.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 79% 12.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETDown 94% 5.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown 96% 5.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp 98% 7.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp 67% 7.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp 87% 5.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp 81% 6.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp 89% 5.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown 99% 5.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp 86% 5.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp 62% 8.06 shares