Polymarket Trader

b715c0

0xd9403b9ce1a0d7d487401cbc60203e7a2cd45b64

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $341.63
Realized PnL: $53.45
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $62.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $237.45
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$87.45

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $237.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $62.55
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $87.45

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $41.63
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $7.37
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$2.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Cornell Big Red position

Cornell Big Red vs. Princeton Tigers

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.4%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 99.8% 15 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 95.8% 500 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 99.7% 510 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 99.1% 510 shares
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

No 99.1% 510 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 98.6% 500 shares
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Yes 2.8% 1,000 shares
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Yes 2.7% 1,000 shares
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?

Yes 2% 1,000 shares
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?

Yes 2% 1,000 shares