Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Polymarket Trader
pitya
0xd9430448ac33ddce60fa8feaee5e83d0b6b7195c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.08
- Realized PnL
- $25.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45K
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83K
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05K
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.56
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.74
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.64
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.5
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.24
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 87.5% 5.71 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 87% 1.29 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No 91% 1.19 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 1 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 24% 1.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 67% 1.4 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 70% 1.43 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 63.9% 1.54 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 64.7% 1.55 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.2% 1.01 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 77% 1.3 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No 84% 1.19 shares