Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $20.94
- Potential payout
- $261.74
- Potential profit
- $240.8
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$12.79
Polymarket Trader
lezardbleu
0xd945f66c60ad38aeeb4c67883146e89e7c71dcb9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.96
- Realized PnL
- -$15.28
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $44.91
- Potential profit
- $42.89
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Grokipedia released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
Yes position
Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
No position
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 11% 44.91 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 12% 41.17 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 9% 152.56 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 17% 41.18 shares
- Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?No 41% 34.15 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 18.3% 109.19 shares
- Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes 99.8% 17.9 shares
- Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes 50% 17.9 shares
- Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?No 50% 20 shares
- US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 83% 16.87 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No 52.7% 37.93 shares