Polymarket Trader

0xD94D74F0cf610e2191cf3324bffEb31F8D2fe6CF-1761084790185

0xd94d74f0cf610e2191cf3324bffeb31f8d2fe6cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $442.56
Realized PnL: $1.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.34
Potential profit: $566.34
User PnL: -$497

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.12
Potential profit: $306.12
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $189.36
Potential payout: $194.01
Potential profit: $4.66
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.76
Potential profit: $147.76
User PnL: -$99

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.94
Potential profit: $116.94
User PnL: -$99.4

Yes position

Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $114.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$99.94

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $60.83
Potential payout: $108.62
Potential profit: $47.79
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$2.17

Odd position

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.03
Potential profit: $101.03
User PnL: -$99.97

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $19.52
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $75.71
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $90.66
Potential payout: $94.24
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $90.35
Potential profit: $89.4
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.01
Potential profit: $80.01
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $52.27
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $12.66
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.66
Potential profit: $61.66
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $60.81
Potential profit: $58.72
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$22.9

Yes position

Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.4
Potential profit: $60.4
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.81
Potential payout: $58.61
Potential profit: $54.8
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$21.19

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.08
Potential profit: $55.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $48.19
Potential profit: $44.41
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.39
Potential profit: $39.39
User PnL: -$13

NIP position

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $19.22
Potential payout: $36.96
Potential profit: $17.74
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $2.22

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.72

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.13

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.13

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.21

No position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.38

No position

Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.53

No position

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.69

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $49.33

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.37

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.05

No position

Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.77

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.95

Yes position

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.26

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.03

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.16

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.01

No position

Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.89

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.28

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.17

No position

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.76

No position

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be red?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.62

No position

Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.1% 856.71 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 55% 54.55 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 95.5% 94.24 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

No 60.5% 33.08 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

No 8.9% 90.35 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.7% 58.82 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 46% 36.96 shares
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)

Japan 99.5% 178.46 shares
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)

Japan 97.5% 178.46 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 690.41 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 58.82 shares