COCOA

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.9K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$288.54

Yes position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$33.16

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $438.7
Potential payout: $820
Potential profit: $381.3
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$6.5

No position

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $675.91
Potential payout: $730.72
Potential profit: $54.8
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $107.8

Yes position

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $287.55
Potential payout: $710
Potential profit: $422.45
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$26.45

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $227.96
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $172.04
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$8.04

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $187.16
Potential payout: $359.92
Potential profit: $172.76
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $263.93
Potential payout: $345
Potential profit: $81.07
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$6.57

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $45.09
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $274.91
Multiplier: 7.10x
User PnL: -$12.21

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $114
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $186
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $151.2
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $88.8
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $54.5
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $155.51
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $4.52

No position

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $26.13
Potential payout: $201
Potential profit: $174.87
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$12.03

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $167
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $67

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $83
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $117
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $169
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $81.99
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $117.99
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $100.8
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $39.2
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $84.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$8.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $832.39

Evans position

CO-8 election: Caraveo (D) vs. Evans (R)

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $821.06

Schweikert position

AZ-01 election: Shah (D) vs. Schweikert (R)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $674.9

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.2

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.26

Yes position

Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.65

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.24

Yes position

Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Calvert position

CA-41 election: Rollins (D) vs. Calvert (R)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.68

Miller-Meeks position

IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.99

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.12

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Duarte position

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $275.18

Colts position

Dolphins vs. Colts

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.69

Gray position

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.7

Yes position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215

Yes position

Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.99

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?