Polymarket Trader

brokerbroker111

0xd976bf813d5c6465b8e8c8bae5c72932eb671025

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.88
Realized PnL: $6.69
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $33.68
Potential profit: $26.8
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$11.88

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.89
Potential profit: $15.89
User PnL: -$5.56

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$5.2

No position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $12.9
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.78
Potential profit: $12.78
User PnL: -$9.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.86

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Google forced to sell Chrome?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$5.37

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.84

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.66

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 35% 15.89 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Yes 72% 12.78 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 27.3% 33.68 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 46% 7.41 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 33% 5.4 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 10.8 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes 12.6% 12.9 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 27.3% 67.36 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes 9.3% 12.9 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Yes 2.4% 50 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Yes 73% 18.37 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 20% 67.04 shares