Polymarket Trader

drleogarcia

0xd9770932c01496c4b8b3595a18940aea09f8fc00

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $638.95
Realized PnL: $215.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $126.73
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $26.73

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $100.05
Potential payout: $106.16
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $86.71
Potential payout: $93.74
Potential profit: $7.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $76.61
Potential payout: $86.76
Potential profit: $10.15
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$1.39

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.02
Potential profit: $86.02
User PnL: -$80

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $80.05
Potential payout: $82.48
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $65.75
Potential payout: $72.13
Potential profit: $6.38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.27
Potential profit: $40.27
User PnL: -$27

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $30.64
Potential payout: $31.19
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $17.14
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$3

No position

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $15.91
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $14.41
Potential payout: $16.28
Potential profit: $1.87
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $1.19
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $4.31
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $4.24
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Amazon acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.22
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.82

No position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

No position

Will Vincenzo Ceccarelli win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $5.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Will Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

No position

Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

No position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

No position

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 94.2% 106.16 shares
Will Vincenzo Ceccarelli win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?

No 81% 28.4 shares
Will Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?

Yes 83.5% 27.55 shares
Will Vincenzo Ceccarelli win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?

No 83.1% 28.89 shares
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

No 89.9% 86.76 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 78% 128.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 95% 47.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Up 67.1% 40.27 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 91% 27.47 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics

Celtics 0.2% 38.8 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics

Celtics 51.5% 38.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Down 99.9% 45.85 shares