Polymarket Trader

AresAris

0xd97af74d894721f24c7bf0680a692bd810876753

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.03
Realized PnL: $1.84
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $34.21
Potential profit: $32.6
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.36
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $8.85
Potential profit: $7.74
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $7.13
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.71
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $6.16
Potential profit: $4.15
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.46
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $3.66
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.8%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Movistar KOI win LEC 2026 Spring?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Team Vitality win LEC 2026 Spring?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Yes 5.7% 17.54 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?

Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Yes 97.2% 1.13 shares
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 57.6% 2.69 shares