Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0xD97c9E48d79d41A287a47F363A85Fc5b09aFD2b3-1768845982226
0xd97c9e48d79d41a287a47f363a85fc5b09afd2b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.5
- Realized PnL
- $216.3
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.46
- Potential profit
- $271.46
- User PnL
- -$176.45
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $64.67
- Potential profit
- $59.17
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.04
- Potential profit
- $34.04
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.4
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.47
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.94
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.86
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.31
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Silver position
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 92.7% 3.22 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 98.4% 28.57 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 96.4% 100 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 65% 271.46 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 60% 62.75 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 37% 54.05 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 23% 8.7 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 25% 430.27 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?Yes 14% 203.97 shares
- Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?Yes 56% 1.79 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?Yes 8.9% 158.73 shares
- Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?Yes 62% 32.26 shares