Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $89.97
- Potential profit
- $75.13
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Polymarket Trader
0xd98816610f42aBEa11a18Be3B5DF50a907086Ce5-1779174292344
0xd98816610f42abea11a18be3b5df50a907086ce5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.44
- Realized PnL
- $39.52
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $42.33
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $40.67
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$11.83
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$33.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $37.64
- Potential profit
- $37.62
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will England win?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Mauricio Ruffy position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?Yes 13% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?Yes 45% 10 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 55% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?Yes 90.2% 47.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?Yes 38% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?Yes 67% 22.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?Yes 16% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?Yes 14% 6.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?Yes 9% 29.97 shares