No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Polymarket Trader
kanhaoleaha
0xd98a51f014315d0130d748b876a5092c38394db0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.09K
- Realized PnL
- $319.88
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $44.58
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $127.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $913.33
- Potential payout
- $926.77
- Potential profit
- $13.44
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.45
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $524.25
- Potential payout
- $545.24
- Potential profit
- $20.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $30.48
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $524.89
- Potential payout
- $532.07
- Potential profit
- $7.18
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $24.89
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $505.42
- Potential payout
- $511.3
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.54
Yes position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $494.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $19.75
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $364
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$4
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $328
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $72
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $398.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $397.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $370
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $207.5
- Potential payout
- $282.31
- Potential profit
- $74.81
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$46.58
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $268.38
- Potential payout
- $269.86
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- User PnL
- $10.14
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.4%
- Current value
- $131.1
- Potential payout
- $143.43
- Potential profit
- $12.34
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $13.52
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $137.62
- Potential payout
- $139.5
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $116.34
- Potential payout
- $120.62
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $76.88
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.51
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $30.94
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $29.26
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.41
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $12.08
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.27
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$41.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 93% 400 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 92% 400 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 93.7% 120.62 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 90% 182.31 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 90% 54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95.6% 869.56 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No 87% 400 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 93.1% 54 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 95% 292 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 92% 139.5 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 92% 400 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Yes 95% 500 shares