Polymarket Trader

CarbonParty

0xd98b7ec800630a34f7501ea224fa745487d0d597

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $69.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.94
Potential profit: $39.94
User PnL: -$13.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.28
Potential profit: $30.28
User PnL: -$9.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.74
Potential profit: $28.74
User PnL: -$18.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.63
Potential profit: $28.63
User PnL: -$5.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.62
Potential profit: $19.62
User PnL: -$9.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.36
Potential profit: $19.36
User PnL: -$6.14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.15
Potential profit: $19.15
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $10.25
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.15
Potential profit: $10.15
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.6

Dynamo Esports position

Map Handicap: DNM (-1.5) vs Alliance Guardians (+1.5)

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Yes 22.4% 10 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?

Yes 67% 10 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?

Yes 65% 9.49 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 2?

Yes 15% 9.47 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Yes 16.1% 9.44 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?

Yes 64.5% 9.25 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 2?

Yes 14.2% 9.68 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Yes 17.2% 9.19 shares
Map Handicap: DNM (-1.5) vs Alliance Guardians (+1.5)

Dynamo Esports 24% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Yes 78% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?

Yes 16% 10 shares