No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.98
- Potential payout
- $9.92
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.98
Polymarket Trader
0xd990...9adb
0xd9907ef884509982733fcc603044e7850a1e9adb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $18.39
- Realized PnL
- $3.35
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $7.18
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 86.7% 1.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 85.9% 1.16 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 97.4% 1.03 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 8% 12.5 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 4.8% 20.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 2% 50 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?Yes 83% 1.2 shares
- Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?Yes 77% 1.3 shares