Polymarket Trader

archihiro

0xd9965fd64fb34353b529910f82b68388418abc36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.69
Realized PnL: $151.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $309.06
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.29
Potential profit: $144.29
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.86
Potential profit: $133.86
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $103.24
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.3
Potential profit: $97.3
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.08
Potential profit: $83.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.06
Potential profit: $64.06
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.96
Potential profit: $49.96
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.3%
Current value: $28.11
Potential payout: $49.1
Potential profit: $20.99
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will the first eaglet hatch on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.88
Potential profit: $36.88
User PnL: -$2.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.57
Potential profit: $35.57
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.13
Potential profit: $35.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.34
Potential profit: $31.34
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.79
Potential profit: $26.79
User PnL: -$9.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.53
Potential profit: $26.53
User PnL: -$9.87

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.77
Potential profit: $25.77
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.33

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.89

Caty McNally position

Miami Open: Caty McNally vs Rebeka Masarova

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 61.1% 49.1 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 4.7% 106.38 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Yes 33% 29.69 shares
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 8, 2026?

Yes 7.8% 36.88 shares
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 10, 2026?

Yes 32% 15.09 shares
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

No 5.5% 54.55 shares
Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 25% 12 shares
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 35% 57.14 shares