Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $14.55
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Polymarket Trader
HiramCromwell
0xd996c155812aff9cfb316990ba68f9500d206a5d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76.24
- Realized PnL
- $275.07
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.41
- Potential payout
- $13.41
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $7.12
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $6.31
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- -$0
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $5.78
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $5.73
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $5.6
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $4.74
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.57
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.8
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.93
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.94
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.98
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.78
No position
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Knicks position
Knicks vs. 76ers
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will another team win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.73
No position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$6.01
No position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$6.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp 56% 3.57 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 6,076.45 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.4% 6,076.46 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 6,108.87 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 6,108.87 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.8% 6,110 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 6,117.12 shares
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.8% 6,006 shares
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 6,006.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETDown 40% 12.5 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA 82% 13.41 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 6,135.54 shares