Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.02
- Potential profit
- $44.02
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Polymarket Trader
crazy-watermelon
0xd998cd4499a679a6e81c6f64ad192522d002918b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.33
- Realized PnL
- -$2.38
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $30.25
- Potential profit
- $30.16
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.94
- Potential profit
- $29.94
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $26.35
- Potential payout
- $29.45
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $12.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $29.25
- Potential profit
- $25.74
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $27.08
- Potential profit
- $23.29
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $26.73
- Potential profit
- $24.72
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $25.37
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $26.13
- Potential profit
- $24.72
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $9.23
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $16.77
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $15.44
- Potential payout
- $25.53
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $24.9
- Potential profit
- $21.17
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $23.8
- Potential profit
- $23.34
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.78
- Potential profit
- $11.78
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?Yes 33.2% 27.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 28?Yes 6% 26.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 28?Yes 19% 24.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 28?Yes 29.2% 26.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 28?Yes 5.8% 26.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 28?Yes 26% 26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 28?Yes 53% 25.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?Yes 20% 29.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?Yes 47% 29.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?Yes 8.5% 30.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 27?Yes 3.2% 44.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 27?Yes 11.2% 29.94 shares