No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $160.48K
- Potential payout
- $160.88K
- Potential profit
- $402.21
- User PnL
- $3.09K
Polymarket Trader
NotBakerMcKenzie
0xd99f3bec8e060ada0aef0c4057695dd5bc22fcdc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $204.23K
- Realized PnL
- $210.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $43.75K
- Potential payout
- $43.95K
- Potential profit
- $197.75
- User PnL
- $197.75
Zhejiang Lions position
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $386.03
- Potential profit
- $386.03
- User PnL
- -$167.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.76K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.01K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.87K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.43K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.93K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $931.88
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLGD Gaming 98% 319.69 shares
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLGD Gaming 88% 182.23 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.2% 5,162.3 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 99.1% 31,234.31 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 354.42 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.8% 309.94 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.9% 1,249.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.8% 22,170.18 shares
- Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?Yes 95.6% 525.6 shares
- Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?Yes 92.9% 583.92 shares
- Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?Yes 92.9% 4,495.01 shares
- Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?Yes 92.8% 111.19 shares