Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $212.35
- Potential payout
- $246.91
- Potential profit
- $34.57
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $12.35
Polymarket Trader
CiccioGamer89
0xd9a6ca477d311de61739eb08f3a59f60f573dcf3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $272.29
- Realized PnL
- $1.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.35
- Potential profit
- $33.35
- User PnL
- -$28.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $26.16
- Potential payout
- $28.59
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $22.26
- Potential payout
- $23.2
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.49
- Potential profit
- $19.49
- User PnL
- -$14.81
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.19
- Potential profit
- $13.19
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $12.58
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $382.53
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.58
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.8
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $116.53
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $111.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.96
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.96
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.74
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.42
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.52
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.75
Fonseca position
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteiro
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.03
Yes position
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.87
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 10-16?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.7
No position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.6
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $27
Rublev position
Qatar Open: Jesper de Jong vs Andrey Rublev
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.73
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.94
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?No 98.2% 774.32 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 87.2% 114.71 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?No 99.5% 864.32 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 81% 246.91 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 65.2% 153.29 shares
- Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No 3.1% 308.11 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 28.5% 70.21 shares
- Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No 6.5% 308.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 91% 13.19 shares
- Will "David" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes 2% 211.12 shares
- Will "David" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes 7.1% 211.13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84% 33.33 shares