Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $376.95
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $9.59
Polymarket Trader
0x15
0xd9b6489d6992ee16913e004a18dc6976f12acc71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.03K
- Realized PnL
- $927.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $257.27
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.27
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $187.69
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $985.36
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $87.15
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $275.29
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $789.67
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- $114.87
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $445.08
- Potential payout
- $527.04
- Potential profit
- $81.95
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $221.62
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.78
- Potential profit
- $211.78
- User PnL
- -$55.41
No position
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.88
- Potential profit
- $209.88
- User PnL
- -$67.13
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.4%
- Current value
- $139.91
- Potential payout
- $204.55
- Potential profit
- $64.64
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $33.31
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $120.79
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $39.2
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $60.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $62.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $87.75
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $22.25
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $28.04
- Potential payout
- $136.77
- Potential profit
- $108.73
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$23.96
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $18.01
- Potential payout
- $83.76
- Potential profit
- $65.75
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$27.49
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $17.81
- Potential payout
- $71.23
- Potential profit
- $53.42
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.69
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$35.1
No position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $8.38
- Potential payout
- $54.09
- Potential profit
- $45.71
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$23.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $38.57
- Potential payout
- $46.2
- Potential profit
- $7.62
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $13.52
No position
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.96
- Potential profit
- $40.96
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $22.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $17.8
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.89
- Potential profit
- $38.89
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.78
- Potential profit
- $33.78
- User PnL
- -$10.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $22.05
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $28.16
- Potential profit
- $18.45
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$11.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.1
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.69
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.52
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.87
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.44
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.3
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.96
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $34.87
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $33.75
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $21.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $20.21
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $19.63
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $18.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 19% 7.89 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 70.54 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No 76% 3.75 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No 76% 15 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 61.7% 52.16 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 72.73 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 49.6% 68.17 shares