Polymarket Trader

satator

0xd9e6d958e08b5ae398d5348131caf39ae94b4bfe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $246.96
Realized PnL: $5.44K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $25.06
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.32K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$33.57

Yes position

Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$57.82

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $462.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $341.99
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $194.6
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$6.6

No position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $121
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $79
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

Yes position

Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Cavaliers position

Nets vs. Cavaliers

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $704.67

Yes position

Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.5

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.5

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights position

Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.38

No position

Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.74

Yes position

Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.64

Heat position

Heat vs. Hawks

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.57

Knicks position

Clippers vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Magic position

Magic vs. Nets

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Under position

Stars vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.89

Yes position

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$20.3

Northwestern Wildcats position

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$53.7

Nets position

Nets vs. Cavaliers

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90.31

Over position

AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98

Hawks position

Heat vs. Hawks

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$115.49

Yes position

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$219.36

Clippers position

Magic vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$607.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 500 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 90% 100 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 55% 200 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6% 200 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 700 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 433 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 707.82 shares
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 8.2% 896.9 shares
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 3.9% 688.78 shares
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 3.5% 193.42 shares
Magic vs. Clippers

Clippers 54% 841 shares
Heat vs. Hawks

Heat 58% 12.79 shares