Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $59.21
- Potential profit
- $57.61
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Polymarket Trader
0xd9f3...f816
0xd9f31f0af9e55b35c007ccb1422e4c747d5df816
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $147.11
- Realized PnL
- $0.19
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $35.68
- Potential profit
- $27.65
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $15.31
- Potential payout
- $33.66
- Potential profit
- $18.34
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $16.55
- Potential payout
- $23.82
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.87
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $17.13
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $15.11
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $7.73
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $12.9
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $9.76
- Potential payout
- $13.85
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $13.52
- Potential profit
- $9.33
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $12.43
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $12.24
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $12.03
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $10.36
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $9.6
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.1%
- Current value
- $7.39
- Potential payout
- $8.9
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $8.4
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $8.32
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $7.23
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $6.66
- Potential profit
- $5.83
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?No 71% 13.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 19?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 19?Yes 22% 20.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?No 46% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 19?Yes 21% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 19?Yes 29% 5.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 19?No 74% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?No 43% 7.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 19?No 72% 8.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?No 42% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?No 40% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 19?No 50% 5 shares