Polymarket Trader

Kwnagi

0xd9fc2a035b4e3d42b144e112f3b7ed7951fb6bd2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.07K
Realized PnL: $2.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$248

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$304

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $118.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$31.5

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $945
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $16

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $969.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $30.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $832
Potential profit: $832
User PnL: -$30.78

No position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $437.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $62.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $425.48
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $24.52
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.82

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$174

Yes position

Up Only podcast released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.98
Potential profit: $169.98
User PnL: -$149.59

Yes position

Up Only podcast released by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $141
User PnL: -$102.93

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $106.25
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$54.34

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$79

Spain position

Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $69.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.2

Netherlands position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$36.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356

Yes position

XRP all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343

Yes position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.92

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.01

Yes position

Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

Yes position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.05

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.04

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.58

Yes position

Circle IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.39

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $53.6

Yes position

Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Solana above $170 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.53

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Gukesh position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Yes position

Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

68.2% 3,064.6 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Spain 88% 80 shares
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

France 89% 40 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Netherlands 61% 60 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 87% 200 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Brazil 74% 100 shares
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 87% 500 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 91.7% 174.01 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 87% 110 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92.9% 1,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.5% 1,000 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 50 shares