Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $208.72
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$142.27
Polymarket Trader
0xd9FC87596b6d42d2cc3A7d2D3F14F139Fb1BD9ec-1771969858795
0xd9fc87596b6d42d2cc3a7d2d3f14f139fb1bd9ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $208.72
- Realized PnL
- -$471.33
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.98
- Potential profit
- $274.98
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.06
- Potential profit
- $54.06
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.59
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.72
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.31
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.78
Yes position
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.12
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$118.57
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$184.21
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$215.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 12.5 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20.4% 48.94 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 50 shares