Polymarket Trader

Mantal

0xda08e030b44b0f51f2154b853a8da60704d30e21

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $238.48
Realized PnL: $3.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $945
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $60.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $939.5
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $986.5
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $5.22
Potential payout: $803.53
Potential profit: $798.31
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$47.43

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $397.8
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$34.33

Yes position

Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $14.35
Potential payout: $284.25
Potential profit: $269.9
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$19.56

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.49
Potential profit: $206.49
User PnL: -$43.36

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $200.43
Potential profit: $198.83
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$5.53

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14.9

Yes position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $8.03
Potential payout: $146
Potential profit: $137.97
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$35.77

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $104.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.8
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.55
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.01
Potential payout: $96.11
Potential profit: $84.09
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$15.86

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $46.55
Potential payout: $61.66
Potential profit: $15.11
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$5.09

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.9%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.42
Multiplier: 3.04x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.88
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$3.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.03

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.54

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.17

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.83

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.54

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.74

No position

Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.82

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.11

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.72

No position

Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.5

No position

Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during statement on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.98

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.54

No position

Will Melania say "Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.35

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.2

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.4

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.8

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.01

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.51

No position

Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

No position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.08

No position

Will Trump say "Democrat" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.04

No position

Will Trump say "Where is" 3+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

No 8% 1,000 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17.5% 349.37 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 17.2% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 17.1% 195 shares
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?

Yes 13.1% 80.17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 10% 300 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3.9% 30.43 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 42% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 300 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 9.9% 200 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 5% 93.51 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 41% 199.99 shares