Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $44.82
- Potential payout
- $48.19
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Polymarket Trader
Celestinienne
0xda18ddb2e4a2f6275918f26b89cb7d5aabfb39be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.82
- Realized PnL
- $9.81
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.46
- Potential profit
- $19.46
- User PnL
- -$8.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.88
Over position
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Trump post "Nasty" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 93.4% 48.19 shares
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5Over 92% 55.43 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.7% 54.21 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 83% 54.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 20.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 20.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 19?No 96.7% 18.61 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 85% 21.34 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 21.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?No 99.9% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?No 96% 18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 70.9% 23 shares