Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $9.44K
- Potential payout
- $44.93K
- Potential profit
- $35.49K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$856.43
Polymarket Trader
Danielj
0xda2d327a9dd25f8460d0576e1facc3ce95da1cee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.12K
- Realized PnL
- $6.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67K
- Potential profit
- $16.67K
- User PnL
- -$999.98
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.37K
- Potential profit
- $9.37K
- User PnL
- -$999.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.64K
- Potential profit
- $8.64K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.95K
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $4.88K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $363.3
Yes position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $28.35
- Potential payout
- $6.3K
- Potential profit
- $6.27K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$71.64
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $673.08
No position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.24K
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $41.25
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 5.99 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 24.3% 6,000 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 26% 1,641 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 24.1% 3,099.28 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 27.2% 2,080.62 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 24.8% 1,914.96 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 23% 160 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.9% 649.16 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.4% 655.06 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 20% 3,000 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 20% 4,000 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 20.3% 1,164.43 shares