polipoporous

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $6.68
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $6.52
User PnL: -$6

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.29
Potential profit: $5.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.68
Potential profit: $3.68
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $2.6
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Over position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

England to score first vs. Ghana?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $1.19
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

Yes position

Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Up position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Eternal Fire position

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Knicks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Jazz

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Kraken position

Canucks vs. Kraken

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

FURIA Esports position

LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Bucks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders position

East Texas A&M Lions vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

North Carolina Central Eagles position

North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Ducks

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Bucks