No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.36K
- Potential profit
- $63.36K
- User PnL
- -$173.99
Polymarket Trader
0xDa41fD3bcDbB69Dc7c325e72c6c46cd052D42b7f-1772498112435
0xda41fd3bcdbb69dc7c325e72c6c46cd052d42b7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.24
- Realized PnL
- -$31.21
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.67
- Potential profit
- $750.67
- User PnL
- -$40
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $9.04
- Potential payout
- $475.55
- Potential profit
- $466.51
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.54
- Potential profit
- $99.54
- User PnL
- -$47.78
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $37.96
- Potential payout
- $58.41
- Potential profit
- $20.44
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $58.18
- Potential profit
- $55.94
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $36.41
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 68.5% 58.41 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?No 3.6% 168.85 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 39% 120.13 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 32% 6.25 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 35.1% 113.88 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 41% 97.75 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 40.9% 97.75 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 53.9% 76.92 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 13% 76.92 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No 8.6% 58.18 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?No 1% 306.7 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 48% 99.54 shares