Polymarket Trader

m7n

0xda4e08f307e27a219ea5083cf51e1c03e96b7270

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.47
Realized PnL: $30.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $4.03
Potential profit: $2.12
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$2.09

No position

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.17
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.33

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 250 or more times Jan 24-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will Southampton win on 2025-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Ripple above $2.70 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

US-China trade deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

DeepSeek banned in US before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

DeepSeek V4 released before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Kanye tweet 50-99 times February 20-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times April 4 - 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

DeepSeek R2 released before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

No 90% 1.17 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?

No 98.7% 4.05 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Yes 96% 4.17 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 99.2% 4.03 shares
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

Yes 92% 4.35 shares
Will the 2025 MLB World Series have fewer than 9 million viewers

No 96.8% 4.37 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET

Down 51% 41.49 shares
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

No 99.7% 4.01 shares
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 91.9% 4.57 shares
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?

No 99.1% 4.24 shares
Will the 2025 MLB World Series have fewer than 9 million viewers

No 96% 4.38 shares
OpenAI acquired in 2025?

No 97.6% 1.84 shares