Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.76K
- Potential profit
- $23.76K
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Polymarket Trader
pretzel
0xda737a656dd487c3ba95d6577d1fec2c61414d41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.51K
- Realized PnL
- $41.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $6.36K
- Potential payout
- $6.78K
- Potential profit
- $416.72
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $103.01
Yes position
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$838.39
Y
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $155.55
- Potential payout
- $168.16
- Potential profit
- $12.61
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.43K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41K
Yes position
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.65
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.93
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $902.86
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.48
Yes position
2025 January hottest on record?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.32
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.14
No position
Was Milei hacked?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.36
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.33
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488
No position
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.83
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.24
Yes position
2024 August hottest on record?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.26
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 93% 148.16 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 94.5% 2,727.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.7% 15,000 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 99% 158.5 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes 99.7% 5,134.6 shares
- Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Yes 10% 3,866.41 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 21.9% 8.3 shares
- Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 62% 3 shares
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Yes 99.9% 6,442.45 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 93.3% 223 shares
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Yes 86.7% 5,814.64 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes 77.4% 5,125.24 shares