Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $13.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.05
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Polymarket Trader
amada-269
0xda7481db6943768f843b1020c8054df7d47b0ecd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $88.58
- Realized PnL
- $243.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $73.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.9
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $26.2
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.39
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Commanders position
Commanders vs. Cowboys
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 100 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 1.5% 95.29 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 3.7% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 7?Yes 96% 29.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?Yes 39% 63.02 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.7% 200 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 31.3% 100 shares
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 72.7% 24.64 shares
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 72.7% 24.64 shares
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 72.7% 24.64 shares
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 72.6% 5 shares