Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$847.99
Polymarket Trader
Bardak22
0xda759d49fab190e18861b9d976389eea3182da58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.94K
- Realized PnL
- -$107.19
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $768.38
- Potential payout
- $768.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $268.38
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.35
- Potential profit
- $162.35
- User PnL
- -$27.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$123.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 65.1% 768.38 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 61% 833.33 shares
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes 43.9% 1,138.78 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 60% 833.33 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes 17% 162.35 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes 70% 27.6 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes 5% 386.37 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes 37% 386.37 shares