No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $77.2
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $25.8
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.46
Polymarket Trader
hawk1707
0xda7d6dc63265f1c0cbcea6b644dcc74be00e8615
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.28
- Realized PnL
- $159.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99
- Potential profit
- $99
- User PnL
- -$93.65
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.16
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 94.6% 99 shares
- Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?Yes 96.8% 41 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes 6.4% 63 shares
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 5.2% 68 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Yes 95.8% 30 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 93.1% 77 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 98.6% 141 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 97.1% 123 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 2.9% 104 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 2.8% 234 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 94.1% 147 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 93.5% 147 shares