Polymarket Trader

0xda84...3d98

0xda84f286f2a28b5f6b1ee37abb3f1728ec363d98

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $10.73
Realized PnL: $132.28
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.27
Potential profit: $259.27
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.64
Potential profit: $127.64
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.81
Potential profit: $109.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.39
Potential profit: $91.39
User PnL: -$0.91

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $86.21
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $83.34
Potential profit: $75.42
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $74.63
Potential profit: $71.83
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.85
Potential profit: $66.85
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.38
Potential profit: $64.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.06
Potential profit: $57.06
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.05
Potential profit: $55.05
User PnL: -$5

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.68
Potential profit: $39.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.31

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.19

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.79

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Yes 0.2% 107.14 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Yes 0.8% 250 shares
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Yes 0.8% 127.64 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Yes 1% 66.85 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 76.8% 31.72 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

No 60% 113.63 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 15.8% 31.73 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 21% 5.55 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 47% 35.71 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

No 88% 113.64 shares