Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $150.74
- Potential payout
- $3.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.82K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$835.88
Polymarket Trader
98Ddd05C98Ddd05C4fC06f4093759FFdhotking012
0xda9126becc96be3598ddd05c4fc06f4093759ffd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.53K
- Realized PnL
- $13.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.75K
- Potential payout
- $3.97K
- Potential profit
- $218.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $966.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$559.98
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$341.41
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $528.2
- Potential profit
- $528.2
- User PnL
- -$439.34
Yes position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $459.98
- Potential profit
- $459.98
- User PnL
- -$16.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.45
- Potential profit
- $391.45
- User PnL
- -$108.05
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $358.95
- Potential payout
- $388.06
- Potential profit
- $29.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $48.55
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $67.81
- Potential payout
- $387.46
- Potential profit
- $319.65
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $24.45
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.67
- Potential profit
- $346.67
- User PnL
- -$133.89
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.13
- Potential profit
- $321.13
- User PnL
- -$146.45
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.39
- Potential profit
- $312.39
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$42.86
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$42.86
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$42.86
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$42.86
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$42.86
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $11.51
- Potential payout
- $255.74
- Potential profit
- $244.23
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.59
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $23.28
- Potential payout
- $245.04
- Potential profit
- $221.76
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$46.67
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.8%
- Current value
- $165.95
- Potential payout
- $241.24
- Potential profit
- $75.29
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $31.7
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.79
- Potential profit
- $238.79
- User PnL
- -$156.68
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.22
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740.97
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: April
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.89
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.93
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $531.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.61
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.3
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.32
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.55
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.68
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.61
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $241.93
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $230.14
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $222.9
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $217.3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.41
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 72.7% 25.93 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.1% 83 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 24% 83 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.1% 200 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 20.1% 162 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.1% 200 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 20.2% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.1% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.1% 162 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.1% 200 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 20.1% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.1% 200 shares