Polymarket Trader

xm2100

@zm2100

0xda9d9f882acd20b0969703463fd60627e369b298

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.82K
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $3.16K
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $62.81
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $58.46

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$1.28K

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $601.95
Potential payout: $648.3
Potential profit: $46.35
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.95

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Wizards

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$100

Blackhawks position

Kraken vs. Blackhawks

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$100

Nuggets position

Mavericks vs. Nuggets

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $107.53
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will India win?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $107.53
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will New Zealand win?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $51.49
Potential payout: $52.14
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$40

Sri Lanka position

Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $11.3
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.83

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.39

Yes position

Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.43

Top Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.51

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.9

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.08

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.8

No position

Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.06

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.27

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.97

Yes position

Will Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.53

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.27

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25

Yes position

Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.07

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Arm Holdings (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.47

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.5% 11.3 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 95.9% 52.14 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 81% 121.95 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

No 96.2% 512.82 shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 97.9% 800.24 shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 97.3% 513.35 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 99.9% 100.1 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

No 99.1% 181.63 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

No 97.5% 512.82 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82% 121.95 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 519.75 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?

No 99.8% 1,001.86 shares