Polymarket Trader

0x2d36

0xdaa12eefa9d564f497323f512fe253287296eb3a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $430.16
Realized PnL: $6.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $115.26
Potential payout: $623
Potential profit: $507.75
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $13.08

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $304.14
Potential payout: $411
Potential profit: $106.86
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $28.77

Yes position

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $19.98
Potential profit: $9.49
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.99
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.78
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.97
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Over position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $897.12

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.6

No position

Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.09

Yes position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $410.44

Yes position

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.88

No position

Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $600M and $700M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.81

Yes position

Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.16

Yes position

Will PUMP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $216.72

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.46

Over position

Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.37

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.27

Yes position

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.8

Yes position

Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.38

Yes position

Will Twice release a song in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.6%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $109.7

No position

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.05

Yes position

Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Multiplier: 5.38x
User PnL: $102.01

No position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $98

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

No position

Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.99

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.64

No position

Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists Over 2.5

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.15

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $54.66

Yes position

Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?

No 29% 738 shares
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

No 58% 1,031 shares
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

No 14% 838 shares
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

No 55% 1,031 shares
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score

No 47% 1,160 shares
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?

No 44.7% 747 shares
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 99% 671 shares
Will Starmer say "Wireless" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

No 59% 687 shares
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

No 84% 396 shares
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

No 84% 161 shares
Will Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

No 85% 343 shares
Will Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

No 85% 525 shares