Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $16.62
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Polymarket Trader
SEXinstructor
0xdaa6cd8e71ad85980ca5b9d12c06350d73b1ded9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.07
- Realized PnL
- -$45.04
- Win rate
- 45%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "border czar" during Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US strikes Yemen before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.76
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1% 2,100 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 2,100 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.3% 1,114.48 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.7% 1,114.49 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 0.4% 6,000 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 0.5% 6,000 shares
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes 46.4% 10.78 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 29% 20.69 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 65.6% 6.1 shares
- US strikes Yemen before August?No 94% 2.66 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation before October?No 96% 8.33 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes 28% 17 shares