Polymarket Trader

junkbonds

0xdaad6f960d507dba148c1ff908db5a28743169cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.98K
Realized PnL: $278.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.24K
Potential profit: $103.24K
User PnL: -$427.2

Yes position

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.98K
Potential profit: $25.98K
User PnL: -$49.89

No position

Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.92K
Potential profit: $7.92K
User PnL: -$526.44

Yes position

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $6.01K
User PnL: -$424.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$1.2K

No position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $4.47K
User PnL: -$1.64K

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $4.3K
User PnL: -$1.69K

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.86K
Potential profit: $3.86K
User PnL: -$543.73

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $475.03
Potential payout: $871.62
Potential profit: $396.59
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$242.66

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.87
Potential profit: $381.87
User PnL: -$76.37

Over position

LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $266.95
Potential payout: $277.64
Potential profit: $10.69
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $47.38

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $251
Potential profit: $245.35
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$149.86

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $13.24
Potential payout: $94.6
Potential profit: $81.36
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$20.81

No position

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $5.97
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.61K

Yes position

September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.84K

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.26K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.03K

Yes position

2024 July hottest on record?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.45K

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.06K

Yes position

2024 August hottest on record?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.06K

Yes position

Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.2K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59K

No position

2024 September hottest on record?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.07K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iraq before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64K

No position

2024 October hottest on record?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06K

Yes position

Will Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94K

No position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52K

Yes position

Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68K

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49K

No position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88K

Yes position

Biden drops out by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.32K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

No position

Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?

Ends Mar 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96K

Yes position

2025 January hottest on record?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

No position

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.77K

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 6,000 shares
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?

Yes 62% 251 shares
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

Over 79.1% 277.64 shares
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99% 5,000 shares
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?

No 99.7% 381.87 shares
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 36m?

No 98% 381.87 shares
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?

Yes 14.3% 2,141.6 shares
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

No 47% 2,351.5 shares
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?

Yes 49.1% 2,308.88 shares
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?

Yes 15.4% 335.9 shares
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?

Yes 27.8% 1,741.88 shares
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

No 25% 2,123 shares