Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $397.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$292.5
Polymarket Trader
moneymakermars
0xdab1f7e2ec709fcd129d68b698b4be82b5abd307
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.1K
- Realized PnL
- $35.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $606.8
- Potential profit
- $606.8
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Ric Grenell be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.65
- Potential profit
- $600.65
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $538.94
- Potential profit
- $538.94
- User PnL
- -$358.48
No position
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $342.89
- Potential profit
- $342.89
- User PnL
- -$160.01
Yes position
Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $325
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.2
- Potential profit
- $225.2
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$155
Yes position
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.08K
Yes position
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
Yes position
Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
No position
Will Ben Wikler be the next DNC chair?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.61
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.53
Yes position
Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.62
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.93
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.12
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.69
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.42
Yes position
Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.26
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.47
No position
Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.87
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.46
Yes position
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Yes position
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.8
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.92
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.2
No position
Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.39
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.62
No position
Will every Republican Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.37
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Trump Cabinet confirmation on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.83
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 1,500 shares
- Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?No 94.6% 1,318.87 shares
- Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?Yes 59% 34.95 shares
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?No 53% 152.22 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 81% 122.96 shares
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?No 56.7% 220 shares
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?No 42.6% 397.13 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 81.3% 122.97 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 4.6% 200 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 560.88 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 18% 200 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 661.92 shares