Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Polymarket Trader
dfefe44
0xdabf616d4f0104eae06c5f750a9a8461279db620
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.82
- Realized PnL
- $110.25
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $59.18
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$28.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $26.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 2?No 98.5% 11.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on June 25?No 97.8% 10.3 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 8?No 96% 9.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 2?No 98.5% 6.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 30?No 98.4% 8 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?No 96% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 15?No 92.2% 9.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 22?No 96.1% 21.91 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 98.6% 3,300 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 98.6% 1,694 shares