No position
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $389.41
- Potential payout
- $472.01
- Potential profit
- $82.6
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $127.94
Polymarket Trader
0xDAC432f5A09b4B79ab5E259c30E51F8512E9a8c9-1762236145761
0xdac432f5a09b4b79ab5e259c30e51f8512e9a8c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.24K
- Realized PnL
- $506.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Meta position
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $265.1
- Potential payout
- $401.66
- Potential profit
- $136.56
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $251.99
- Potential payout
- $340.53
- Potential profit
- $88.54
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $32.82
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $118.3
- Potential payout
- $182
- Potential profit
- $63.7
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
No position
UK Recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $87.8
- Potential payout
- $121.94
- Potential profit
- $34.14
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $71.32
- Potential payout
- $101.17
- Potential profit
- $29.85
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $19.9
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $19.44
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $14.7
- Potential payout
- $19.21
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Japan recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $111.61
No position
Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.55
No position
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.42
No position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $26.02
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.74
No position
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.98
No position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.32
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $16.44
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $11.69
No position
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $10.53
Ackman position
Ackman vs. S&P - January
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Microsoft position
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
TikTok sale announced by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 86% 23 shares
- Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?No 81% 20 shares
- Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?No 82% 10.7 shares
- UK Recession in 2026?No 71% 11.94 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No 66% 15 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No 71% 101.17 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No 67% 152 shares
- Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?No 79% 25 shares
- Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?Meta 1% 999.75 shares
- Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?Meta 1.1% 745 shares
- Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?Meta 2% 47.52 shares
- Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?Meta 2.1% 773 shares