Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $23.66
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Polymarket Trader
0xdac9...5c9e
0xdac95ff9c64d48289286e3067a986f91b1f15c9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $99.66
- Realized PnL
- -$3.16
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $23.92
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $17.22
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $8.31
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.47
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.33
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.97x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 21 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.2% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 31.8% 8 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.3% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 93.9% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 10.2% 10 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 89.8% 19 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 86% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.6% 9 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 21 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes 17% 26 shares