No position
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xdACAd8B9745Be9e447e277cc6E389f55080745cB-1767913996913
0xdacad8b9745be9e447e277cc6e389f55080745cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.05
- Realized PnL
- $32.74
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.86
- Potential profit
- $171.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $13.22
- Potential payout
- $105.8
- Potential profit
- $92.57
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.91
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.76
- Potential profit
- $91.76
- User PnL
- -$78
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.75
- Potential profit
- $43.75
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.17
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$7.57
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.8
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.53
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.27
Yes position
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Pelosi position
Pelosi vs. S&P - January
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
S&P position
Pelosi vs. S&P - January
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.48
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.74
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 4.1% 110 shares
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 13% 10 shares
- Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 5.7% 60 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 3.4% 59.99 shares
- Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 85% 91.76 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 96% 20 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?No 59% 20 shares
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 29% 10 shares
- Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 16.5% 7.51 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 9% 59.99 shares
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 11.1% 110 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No 28% 6.25 shares