Polymarket Trader

Sorruby

0xdadbf9e1df1b8d7a184a0d6ab9c83b2337b61870

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $164.04
Realized PnL: $3.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $504.97
Potential profit: $504.97
User PnL: -$31.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.92
Potential profit: $215.92
User PnL: -$12.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $103.68
Potential payout: $103.73
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $21.73

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$92

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.55
Potential profit: $96.55
User PnL: -$13.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $54.1
Potential payout: $70.26
Potential profit: $16.16
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.76
Potential profit: $36.76
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $20.25
Potential profit: $18.32
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $1.12

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.76
Potential profit: $15.76
User PnL: -$3.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $10.93
Potential profit: $6.72
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$3.22

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $1.46
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.68

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.52

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.99

No position

Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $216.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.46

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 4% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?

Yes 12.9% 206.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

No 68% 10.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?

Yes 12.9% 33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?

Yes 12.9% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?

Yes 11.9% 46.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?

Yes 11.8% 102.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 17?

Yes 0.1% 656.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 17?

Yes 1.9% 235.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

No 66.3% 81.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

No 65.6% 277 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 17?

Yes 0.8% 735.43 shares