Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $611.14
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- $272.47
Polymarket Trader
victoralfa
@victor__alfa
0xdadc48edb7b3bc076498b778ae5cc5d35f8a195e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $611.14
- Realized PnL
- -$129.46
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $28.12
No position
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $18.85
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$25.33
Yes position
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$42.15
Yes position
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$73.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 6.8% 766.62 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 61% 42.37 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 60.6% 43.4 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 6.4% 596.41 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 57.6% 43.4 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 59% 42.37 shares
- Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes 9.2% 330.56 shares
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes 15.6% 370.72 shares
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes 27.7% 180.35 shares
- Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes 31% 161.29 shares
- Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes 32.1% 169.27 shares
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes 25.6% 97.78 shares