No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $639.12
- Potential payout
- $660.59
- Potential profit
- $21.47
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Polymarket Trader
0xdaf1...2d8d
0xdaf14cc4ab35f56a544da8a3c2ea1f9f14e32d8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $860.55
- Realized PnL
- $177.09
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $50.22
- Potential payout
- $413.36
- Potential profit
- $363.14
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$21.29
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Current value
- $171.21
- Potential payout
- $275.48
- Potential profit
- $104.27
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.83
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $26.26
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$67.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 63.2% 500.42 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 63.2% 29.89 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 49% 614.07 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.3% 656.65 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 677.76 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.3% 1,070.01 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 22% 303.58 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 96.4% 459.22 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.1% 677.76 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.3% 496.55 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.1% 541.19 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 15.3% 542.82 shares